LOTTO system analysis: analysis of the loaded system

Lotto analysis: For each lotto system you can create an extended payout table. With the intelligent software you can run a complete lotto system analysis in a very short time! Note that this analysis is absolutely independent of current draw results—questions like “what about Saturday’s numbers, with or without Superzahl?” are not relevant here. You get purely objective, statistically meaningful results.

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Display of the loaded system – number of system numbers

1) A lotto system is currently in memory. Click “Show” to view it. In the unregistered version only the first 35 lines are shown. Sort the system by clicking a column header (e.g., click column 3 to sort by the third number). You can also drag columns to change their order. Please note that the displayed count of system numbers can also be smaller (see the top display area “System properties: ...”; for the file 163.iiv with 49 system numbers, only 27 numbers are shown instead of the actual 49) because without registration the system consists of only 35 lines! In this case the first 35 combinations in 163.iiv contain only 27 distinct numbers. The screenshot shows the corresponding part of 163.iiv.

Display: system in its normal form

Figure: Viewing and sorting the loaded system; column order can be changed (screenshot in German).


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Display of the loaded system – cross‑roll pattern

2) You can also display the system as a cross‑roll pattern by enabling “Graphic” (see list of individual lines in the next screenshot). Each line corresponds to one standard grid. Here the crosses are rendered more “aesthetically”. In the “Evaluation” section, the crosses are vertically aligned to match numbers exactly.

Display: system as a cross-roll pattern

Figure: Cross‑roll visualization of the grids for the loaded system (screenshot in German).


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Create extended payout tables

3) The program’s key feature: creating payout tables. When you click “Payout table”, the system is tested against all combinations in the lotto formula 3,4,5,6 from XX (the actual number of system numbers). For 49 system numbers this is 13,983,816. The number of wins per prize class (three, four, five, six) is calculated together with the probability of each case. This takes a few minutes and can be aborted with Esc (press multiple times). The progress display is important! Note: If you still need the old evaluation with the additional number (Zusatzzahl), enable the “Graphic” checkbox before starting this analysis. The extended payout table created this way for VEW 609 is shown next. You obtain a complete overview of your system. This computation is run directly and is therefore possible for any system (including any loaded from file). Again: with “Graphic” enabled, the table is built in the old style (considering the additional number), as visible in the next section’s screenshot. Important: this can take a long time; with more than 16 system numbers the software starts multiple threads (specifically 8) to accelerate processing (which raises CPU usage).

Creating payout tables with MELM

Figure: Extended payout table for a VEW system; includes probabilities per prize class (screenshot in German).


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Export analysis results

4) You can conveniently and—most importantly—accurately export your lines or the results of the analysis for further processing, e.g., in Microsoft Excel. Click “Copy” (see next screenshot) to copy the entire analysis window to the Windows clipboard. Paste into any text editor (or Excel) via standard “Paste” (Ctrl+V). For printing, use your editor’s/Excel’s print functions. Since v6.52 MELM also creates gewinntabelle.html in the program folder containing the “Payout table” results. You may publish this file for your analyzed systems on your website provided that the page contains a link to www.winnersystem.org.

Export data for further processing

Figure: Copying the analysis window to the clipboard for Excel or text editors (screenshot in German).


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Lotto analysis: observed win guarantees of a system

5) The unique and arguably most important functions after payout tables are described now. With MELM you can verify a 3‑match guarantee (i.e., when 6 system numbers are correct, the system guarantees at least one “3” as a win). Checks for “4” and “5” guarantees are also available via corresponding buttons—independent of which system numbers the system uses (they need not be the contiguous 01 02 03 04 05 ... XX; arbitrary sets like 01 04 06 ... are fine), provided each line’s numbers are sorted ascending. Clicking “3‑4‑5” tests all combinations of 6 from XX (actual count of system numbers); for 49 numbers that’s 13,983,816. Counts of three/four/five/six wins are computed. Duration depends on the system; abort with Ctrl (press multiple times). The “Progress” field indicates remaining time.
To verify other guarantees (e.g., “3‑out‑of‑4” or “3‑out‑of‑5”), compute the extended payout table as described above (which can confirm the system’s guarantee), or compute per‑class tables as follows:

System analysis: 3-match guarantee

Figure: Checking 3/4/5 guarantees across all 6-of-XX combinations; progress shown (screenshot in German).


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Payout tables for individual prize classes

6) Since v8.01 MELM can compute payout tables for single hit classes separately (significantly faster, used to directly check guarantees like “3‑out‑of‑4” or “3‑out‑of‑5”). The results (for the new 3_4_49 system with 537 lines) are shown next. Important: “Graphic” must be enabled; otherwise the full system analysis (next point) is run!

System analysis: payout table for class 4+SN

Figure: Individual payout table for 4-hits class (option “Graphic” enabled) (screenshot in German).


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Lotto analysis: complete lotto system analysis

7) Program highlight #2: run a system analysis. The results are shown next. These measures come from probability theory and are the key parameters of a lotto system. Background is linked under Lottery systems. If a system includes all possible “3” combinations, you can expect at least 20 “3s” when you have a jackpot line (not just one), because a 6-hit contains exactly 20 distinct 3‑hit subsets; see combination formula for systems. For large systems (over 10,000 lines) this takes several minutes; the progress display is helpful.

System analysis: how many 2/3/4/5/6 combos are contained?

Figure: Complete system analysis showing counts of contained 2/3/4/5/6 combinations (screenshot in German).


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Lotto analysis: lotto full system 007

8) Lotto full system 007 – Is there a bug in the analysis?
We repeatedly get questions about the analysis of LOTTO full systems, because no 3s and no 4s are shown—see the screenshot. You can run a system analysis for 3s/4s/5s yourself. Example results for Full System 7 are shown next. The explanation is simple. Like all full systems, Full System 007 has 7 system numbers and includes all possible combinations—so exactly 7 lines. If, in this analysis method, all 6‑of‑7 permutations are examined, then at least a 5 is guaranteed as the “minimal win”. So everything is correct!

Another side note: We are considering a short demo video to make onboarding to MELM even easier. Please let us know briefly if such a video would help!
Lotto analysis: Full System 007

Figure: Analysis specifics for Full System 007; why 3/4 hits do not appear (screenshot in German).

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