Taking into account the probabilities for each prize class, it is straightforward to compute the theoretical payouts (the amounts that would result if all 139,838,160 combinations were each played exactly once). For this calculation, in addition to the probabilities above, you also need the payout shares per prize class. Since only 50% of stakes are distributed across all prize classes (and 9% to the so‑called booster fund), the following theoretical payouts result:
Prize class 12, 2 correct regular numbers (of 50) with 1 correct Euro number (of 12):
=50%*20.30%*49.27348837*€2 =0.5*0.2030*49.27348837*2 ≈ €10.00
Prize class 11, 1 correct regular number (of 50) with 2 correct Euro numbers (of 12):
=50%*6.75%*187.7085271*€2 =0.5*0.0675*187.7085271*2 ≈ 12.67 ≈ €12.70
Prize class 10, 3 correct regular numbers (of 50) without correct Euro numbers (of 12):
=50%*5.40%*313.8903704*€2 =0.5*0.054*313.8903704*2 ≈ 16.95 ≈ €16.70
Prize class 9, 3 correct regular numbers (of 50) with 1 correct Euro number (of 12):
=50%*2.85%*706.2533333*€2 =0.5*0.0285*706.2533333*2 ≈ 20.13 ≈ €20.10
Prize class 8, 2 correct regular numbers (of 50) with 2 correct Euro numbers (of 12):
=50%*2.55%*985.4697674*€2 =0.5*0.0255*985.4697674*2 ≈ 25.13 ≈ €25.10
Prize class 7, 4 correct regular numbers (of 50) without correct Euro numbers (of 12):
=50%*0.80%*13811.1763*€2 =0.5*0.008*13811.1763*2 ≈ 110.49 ≈ €110.50
Prize class 6, 3 correct regular numbers (of 50) with 2 correct Euro numbers (of 12):
=50%*1.10%*14125.06667*€2 =0.5*0.011*14125.06667*2 ≈ 155.38 ≈ €155.40
Prize class 5, 4 correct regular numbers (of 50) with 1 correct Euro number (of 12):
=50%*1.00%*31075.14667*€2 =0.5*0.01*31075.14667*2 ≈ 310.75 ≈ €310.80
Prize class 4, 4 correct regular numbers (of 50) with 2 correct Euro numbers (of 12):
=50%*0.80%*621502.9333*€2 =0.5*0.008*621502.9333*2 ≈ 4,972.02 ≈ €4,972.00
Prize class 3, 5 correct regular numbers (of 50) without correct Euro numbers (of 12):
=50%*4.85%*3107514.667*€2 =0.5*0.0485*3107514.667*2 = ≈ €150,714.50
Prize class 2, 5 correct regular numbers (of 50) with 1 correct Euro number (of 12):
=50%*8.60%*6991908*€2 =0.5*0.086*6991908*2 = ≈ €601,304.10
Top prize class 1, 5 correct regular numbers with 2 correct Euro numbers (of 12):
=50%*36%*139838160*€2 =0.5*0.36*139838160*2 = ≈ €50,341,737.60
(if considering a 9% booster fund:
=50%*(36+9)%*139838160*€2 =0.5*0.45*139838160*2 = ≈ €62,927,172.00)
Based on these theoretical payouts, the organizers’ statement that payouts in all prize classes have increased (latest Eurojackpot rule change on 25.03.2022) is fully confirmed.
